Ramazan gave the blog another winner this week at Beverley, next year I’m going to wait until I get a bit of an idea of the form instead of thinking I’m a pedigree expert and betting on debutantes.
As I mentioned in my last post I’d bet each way on Ramazan at 5s and also done a small speculative each way on the Robert Cowell runner Miss Mai Tai, I was hoping she would attract serious money, the money did come and she went off 10/1, in hindsight I should have cashed out but I always worry about making wrong decision like I have in the past, anyway I left it and her effort faded out when the going got tough.
Ramazan was quicker away this time and raced prominent, with Hanagan in the hot seat I was pretty sure I would get a run for my money, still a touch green he was ridden two furlongs out to take up the running and did so when meeting the rising ground, Ramazan did have a battle but was always doing enough, get the fuck in!
York 11 May 2022
One I mentioned on twitter was Thunder Moor who was very well supported on debut and looked the likely winner until fading in the last furlong, the support that day made me think connections would have been disappointed Thunder Moor didn’t win. That’s what you have to look out for, strong support on debut and add to that a decent second timeout record. Thank God for best odds as Thunder Moor won easily and drifted to sevens, happy days!
14:10 Beverley May 10 2022
The one that caught my eye and probably everyone else’s was the Kevin Ryan Kodiac colt Professor Pesca who was actually the overnight market leader at 7/2 until drifting the following morning. Drawn in 10 Professor Pesca jinked to the left coming out the stalls and lost ground, Kevin Stott gradually gained ground and once he met the rising ground was finishing best of all but all too late in the day. Pretty sure a win won’t be long coming.
13:45 Musselburgh May 9 2022
Not sure how good the race is yet but Karl Burke does rate the winner Cathy Come Home, the one that caught my eye was the Ian Jardine colt Finn Russell who was slightly slowly away on his debut, blocked in and struggling for a gap two furlongs out until switching inside and running on very well, definitely has a small race in him.
13.45 Lingfield May 3 2022
Lingfield isn’t the easiest place and especially when 2-year-olds are making their debut, The Queens colt Garner looks one to keep on the right side of in what was an eye-catching debut at the track. Pretty steady in the market at 3s, the son of Recorder was half asleep coming out the stalls and was bustled along by Ryan Moore, in contrast the eventual winner Lucy Lightfoot had flown and never getting caught, it was all about a learning experience for Garner as Ryan tried to educate him around the bends, once he hit the last furlong the penny dropped and he found another gear but all to late.
(Just to note about my eye-catchers I won’t be backing them blind, other things like the opposition, ground conditions, you know what I mean).
York 13.50 Friday 13 May
This looks a great race with plenty of potentially nice horses for the future, it would take forever going through and times getting on. Definitely not the sort of race I would bet in, my style is to find a winner at a smaller meeting then leave them alone, but I can’t leave Yahsat here as the Karl Burke two-year-old has done me plenty of favours just through her form line. The Dandy Man filly beat JM Jungle and Ramazan last timeout and both have gone on to score for me, even her debut race is one with a couple of winners when she was beaten by Richard Hannon’s Powerdress at Newmarket last month with Lost Angel and Lucy Lightfoot both winning since. The forms decent but who knows against this field. I’m no time specialist so I wouldn’t really know about that either.
I’m not going mad here so a small each way at 8s and hope for the best with Yahsat.
The early favourite is Miami Girl who also looks a nice type for Richard Hannon and could be anything really but given a good rating and sectionals by some better judges than me.
14:20 Thirsk May 2022
A few nice looking newcomers in this plus a few with experience. Bryan Smart sent out Cotai Pearl at Musselburgh last month and was only beaten by the odds on Jungle Time who runs in the Marygate today. That was a nice run and will be up there at the business end of the race I’m sure.
I’m hoping for an each way price on the Kevin Ryan trained Flying Barty, I’m probably asking a bit much here but you never know. It’s been a bit of a slow start for Kevin’s 2yos but Thunder Moor winning the other day and Catch The Paddy coming second yesterday he’s hitting form at the right time. Flying Barty was pretty well fancied going off 5/1 at Newmarket for her debut, Kevin Stott held her up but she seemed to struggle handing the dip before staying on again, the form looks decent and I’m hoping for a big run here. Doesn’t have the best strike rate at the course and over 10s would be a negative.
Other trackers to note:
19:10 Doncaster Sat 14 May
Double O trained by David Loughnane.
15:35 Newmarket Sat 14 May
Mawj trained by Saeed Bin Suroor.
14:10 Newmarket Sat 14 May
Princess D’Or trained by Charlie Appleby.
Thanks for reading.